The Athletic has released its 2025 Men’s NCAA Tournament projections, providing a comprehensive look at each team’s chances of advancing through the tournament. Based on 200,000 simulations, the models take into account a team’s strength and path to the national title.
Each team’s odds are displayed as part of the Bracket Central series, an inside look at the run-up to the men’s and women’s NCAA Tournaments. The projections will be updated after each tournament game. Viewers can explore each team’s chances by hovering or tapping on their respective odds.
The Athletic uses a combination of box score metrics and probability adjustments to create its projections. After simulating the tournament 200,000 times, the models calculate how often a team is likely to make each round and win the championship.
These projections offer an in-depth look at the 2025 Men’s NCAA Tournament, providing fans with valuable insights and analysis. The Athletic maintains full editorial independence, ensuring unbiased reporting and editing.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6198047/2025/03/20/mens-march-madness-projections-2025-full-ncaa-tournament-bracket-odds