If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, his second term as president could have significant and far-reaching consequences for international politics. Trump has made it clear on the campaign trail that he intends to fundamentally alter US foreign policy, seeking to reduce reliance on allies and increase protectionism.
Trump’s “America First” approach, which he implemented during his first term, involved withdrawing from international agreements such as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran and the Paris climate agreement. He also criticized NATO, arguing that other countries were not contributing enough to defense spending. In a second term, Trump is likely to continue this approach, potentially withdrawing from additional international agreements and organizations.
The impact of a second Trump presidency on global trade and diplomacy could be significant. A trade war with China and tariffs imposed on US trading partners could drive up prices for American consumers and harm the economy. The erosion of institutions like NATO and the UN could have lasting effects on the geopolitical landscape, making it more difficult to resolve conflicts and address global challenges.
Trump’s ability to reshape international politics will depend on his administration’s staffing and personnel. A lack of experience and expertise in key positions could lead to poor foreign policy decisions and a failure to negotiate effectively with other countries. Trump has made big promises about ending wars and resolving conflicts, but the reality is likely to be more complex and difficult.
Ultimately, the consequences of a second Trump presidency on international politics will depend on a variety of factors, including his administration’s policies, staffing, and personnel. However, one thing is certain: the world may never be the same under a second Trump presidency.
Source: https://www.vox.com/2024-elections/382679/trump-foreign-policy-america-first-tariffs-nato-alliance