A clear direction emerged in the US presidential election, with early states consistently voting Republican. This trend is similar to 2020, where the vote count’s whiplash subsided as the outcome became more certain.
With a Republican-controlled Senate, a Trump presidency would significantly impact the federal judiciary and domestic policy. The Supreme Court’s rightward shift would cement its position, while executive actions on policy and international relations would be taken.
The election now hinges on the House, with Democrats hoping to take back control to block key legislation. A Democratic-controlled House could limit Trump’s agenda through “budget reconciliation” bills, which cannot be filibustered in the Senate, thus requiring only a majority vote of 51 rather than 60.
A possible international consequence is leaders reorienting towards a shifting world order, as seen with French President Emmanuel Macron discussing unity with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
In his speech, Trump referenced the assassination attempts on him and vowed to fix the country’s problems upon taking office. He stated that the GOP would keep the House, but key races remain uncertain.
The election will come down to a handful of battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Source: https://edition.cnn.com/election/2024/results/president?election-data-id=2024-PG&filter-key-races=false&filter-flipped=false&filter-remaining=false