The development of artificial general intelligence (AGI), a hypothetical form of machine intelligence that can solve any human task, is still a topic of debate among top researchers. While some believe AGI will arrive in as little as two years, others predict it could take decades.
Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, thinks we’re making progress toward AGI and may see significant advancements by 2025. Miles Brundage, former head of AGI readiness at OpenAI, predicts a form of AGI will manifest in the next few years, enabling systems to perform tasks that require human input.
On the other hand, Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, believes we’ll see AGI by 2026. Geoffrey Hinton, AI godfather, thinks it may be possible for AGI to surpass human intelligence within five years. Demis Hassabis, Google DeepMind’s CEO and Nobel laureate, cautions that an AGI capable of reasoning like humans is still a decade away.
Andrew Ng, leading AI researcher, describes AGI as a form of intelligence that can perform intellectual tasks that humans can, but he remains uncertain about its timeline. Richard Socher predicts AGI will be achieved in three to five years when considering economic and simple definitions. Yann LeCun, Meta’s chief AI scientist, disagrees, stating that AGI is not imminent and will likely take years or decades to develop.
The debate highlights the complexity of defining AGI and the varying opinions among experts on its timeline.
Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/agi-predictions-sam-altman-dario-amodei-geoffrey-hinton-demis-hassabis-2024-11