Israel’s reported killing of Hamas’ leader in Gaza, Mohammed Sinwar, has been touted as a strategic turning point in negotiations for a hostage deal. However, analysts are questioning the validity of this claim.
Sinwar’s death may have boosted Israel’s bargaining power in talks with Hamas, but it is unlikely to be the decisive factor that leads to a successful hostage deal. The complex and often fluid nature of terrorist organizations like Hamas means that even a leadership change can have limited impact on their operations.
Moreover, Hamas has already declared Sinwar’s successor, Ismail Ali Musa, as its new leader, indicating that the organization is more resilient than initially thought. This raises concerns that Israel may be overestimating the significance of Sinwar’s death in facilitating a hostage deal.
Experts caution that the prospects for a successful hostage deal remain uncertain, and Sinwar’s death is just one factor among many that will influence the outcome. As negotiations continue, it is essential to consider the broader context and complexities surrounding Hamas’ operations, rather than relying on a single event like Sinwar’s death to drive progress.
Source: https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2025-05-19/ty-article/.premium/turning-point-why-those-pinning-hopes-on-israels-killing-of-hamas-leaders-are-mistaken/00000196-e77e-dd38-a5fe-ff7f5fbc0000