The 2025 Open Championship cut is expected to land at one over par, with players like Sergio Garcia, Maverick McNealy, and Bryson DeChambeau making the most of their Friday performances. As Data Golf’s model shifted from a 92% chance of a two-over-par cut to a more balanced projection, top contenders are now fighting for weekend tee times alongside Scottie Scheffler and Matt Fitzpatrick. Meanwhile, some notable players like Jason Day, Joaquin Niemann, and Ben Griffin are on the outside looking in after missing the projected two-over-par cut line. The final group of players will determine the 36-hole cut, with those inside the top 70 plus ties securing their spots for Saturday.
Source: https://golf.com/news/2025-open-championship-projected-cut