A recent discovery has sparked concerns among scientists about asteroid 2024 YR4, which is expected to pose a significant risk to Earth if it collides with our planet. Measuring up to 330 feet in diameter, the asteroid has a small but non-negligible chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032.
According to experts from the European Space Agency’s (ESA) Planetary Defence Office, the asteroid ranges from about 130 to 330 feet across and could cause severe harm if it collides with our planet. The probability of impact is estimated at around 1.2%, but independent calculations by NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies confirm these findings.
The International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) has placed the asteroid on Level 3 of the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, indicating that it deserves added attention from researchers and everyday folks alike. While the risk above 1% prompts action at national and global levels, scientists are working to refine predictions and gather more data.
ESA and NASA have begun coordinating observations to narrow down the asteroid’s path, with plans for advanced telescope sessions in the coming months. The European Southern Observatory’s Very Large Telescope in Chile will join the effort, capturing highly detailed images before the asteroid fades from view.
The IAWN plays a critical role in tracking and studying cosmic debris, sharing information across multiple nations and advising policymakers on how to respond if the threat persists. The Space Mission Planning Advisory Group (SMPAG), chaired by ESA, discusses spacecraft-based measures that might be used to adjust or deflect an asteroid if the odds do not fall to a safe level.
While the probability of impact seems low, scientists emphasize the importance of continued monitoring and caution. With advanced telescopes and higher sensitivity instruments, they aim to cut down the current uncertainty and refine orbital calculations.
The possibility of asteroid impacts serves as a reminder of Earth’s vulnerability to space threats. As researchers continue to gather data and share findings across borders, the scientific community remains vigilant in its pursuit of understanding and protecting our planet.
Source: https://www.earth.com/news/nasa-asteroid-2024-yr4-has-a-chance-of-hitting-earth-in-2032