The Baltimore Ravens have taken over as -1.5-point favorites for this Sunday’s playoff game against the Buffalo Bills, marking a first in Super Bowl era history for the Bills to be listed as home underdogs. This shift in odds comes despite the Bills being favored by 2.5 points earlier this postseason.
A closer look at the numbers shows that while the Ravens have been favored in three previous road playoff games and covered the spread each time, the Bills’ situation is different. The team has a strong home record this season, going undefeated at home for the third time in franchise history.
However, with key players like linebackers Matt Milano and Terrell Bernard, as well as nickel cornerback Taron Johnson, now available, the Bills have an advantage that was missing earlier in the season. Additionally, Josh Allen’s offense is better equipped to perform this weekend due to increased familiarity.
NFL playoff history suggests that home underdogs have a relatively favorable record, with a 24-12-1 versus-the-spread record since the turn of the century. The Bills’ own performance as underdogs, particularly at home, shows they have navigated these situations successfully in recent years.
Despite this, many question whether the odds are stacked against Buffalo this Sunday. Do you think Josh Allen and the Bills can overcome their initial deficit to take down the Ravens?
Source: https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2025/1/16/24343760/buffalo-bills-go-from-favorite-to-underdog-in-nfl-divisional-round-rematch-with-baltimore-ravens