Crypto strategist DonAlt warns of a possible worst-case scenario for Bitcoin (BTC), where the cryptocurrency repeats its 2021 mid-bull cycle collapse. If this happens, BTC would recover from a 50% drawdown, surpassing $110,000, only to give up most of its gains in bear territory.
DonAlt believes that if Bitcoin follows this path, it will be unable to mount rallies above $69,000 and instead will abruptly end its bull market. The analyst sees this as the worst-case scenario for BTC’s current price momentum.
On the other hand, DonAlt suggests that the best-case scenario is a shift away from Bitcoin’s traditional halving-based four-year cycle. Without this cycle, BTC could witness a steady uptrend without needing to time market tops and avoid brutal bear winters.
DonAlt is optimistic about this new approach, stating that it would make investing in Bitcoin more “blissful complacency.” He believes that if the market is up, investors can profit from it, but if it’s down, there’s always a chance for recovery. Currently, BTC is trading at $86,351, and DonAlt thinks it may bounce back to support at $90,000 before the weekly close.
Source: https://dailyhodl.com/2025/03/02/crypto-trader-unveils-worst-case-scenario-for-bitcoin-this-cycle-heres-his-outlook