The NFL’s Christmas Day matchups bring crucial games with playoff implications. PFF’s betting model analyzes teams’ records, trends, and game overviews to deliver informed picks.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) vs Pittsburgh Steelers [Total: 44]
The Chiefs are seeking their fourth straight win as they close in on securing the AFC No. 1 seed. However, covering as road favorites remains a challenge for Kansas City, with a 2-2-1 ATS record away from Arrowhead this season.
Conversely, Pittsburgh is trying to reclaim control of the division after a disappointing weekend that saw their chances of becoming the top seed evaporate. The Steelers will aim to win at home, where they boast a 5-1 ATS record and are expected to bring maximum effort.
QB Russell Wilson’s struggles have been evident in December, with the veteran quarterback earning a 67.7 PFF passing grade since the start of the month. He has failed to surpass 227.5 passing yards in three consecutive games, averaging just 167 yards per contest.
The Chiefs’ defense ranks second in EPA allowed per dropback since December began, making it well-positioned to stifle the Steelers’ limited passing attack.
Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) vs Houston Texans [Total: 46.5]
With a playoff berth locked in, Baltimore aims for the AFC North title if Pittsburgh stumbles. The Ravens have been reliable teams in betting markets, posting a 3-1 ATS record over their past four games.
Houston, now focusing on the AFC’s No. 3 seed, could benefit from a Steelers loss. A win at home would give them an edge in conference victories and help avoid a tough first-round playoff matchup against the AFC North.
TE Dalton Schultz is poised to excel given the Texans’ receiver room injuries. He has surpassed the 34.5 receiving yards line in two of his last three games, showcasing his ability to step up when needed.
Source: https://www.pff.com/news/bet-christmas-day-football-chiefs-steelers-ravens-texans-betting-preview-odds-lines-best-bets