France is on edge as Marine Le Pen, the far-right leader, faces a verdict in an embezzlement trial on Monday. The case could determine whether she can participate in the 2027 presidential election if found guilty.
Le Pen has been accused of embezzling $4.8 million in European Union funds through no-show jobs at the European Parliament for lawmaker “assistants.” Her lawyers argue that the law under which she can be automatically banned from running for office was not in place at the time of the alleged scheme.
The prosecution is seeking a five-year sentence, with three years suspended, and a €325,000 fine. A conviction could result in Le Pen’s exclusion from the 2027 election, but it’s unclear whether the disqualification would be permanent or could be appealed.
The case has sparked concerns about democracy and the rule of law, with some politicians fearing that a ban on Le Pen would undermine French democracy by appearing to target the far-right. However, others argue that she should face accountability through the democratic process.
Le Pen’s popularity is rising, and she may be seen as a strong candidate for the 2027 vote if eligible. The case has also sparked tensions with American officials, who have expressed concerns about European efforts to stifle the far right.
A verdict against Le Pen would mark a significant shift in French politics, potentially leading to a new challenger in the 2027 election. Her natural successor, Jordan Bardella, is seen as a potential contender if she were disqualified.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/30/world/europe/le-pen-embezzlement-trial-france-election.html