The 80th Golden Globe Awards delivered a mix of surprises and hints about the Oscar contenders. Demi Moore’s win in the best actress in a musical or comedy feature category for her role in “The Substance” sent shockwaves through the awards season. The film’s momentum as a critical darling helped propel Moore to the top of the best actress frontrunner list.
Moore’s victory, alongside Fernanda Torres’ surprise win in the lead actress in a drama category for “I’m Still Here,” showed that even major contenders can be upset. However, history suggests that three Golden Globe comedy/musical nominees may face an uphill battle in securing Oscar nominations.
Sebastian Stan’s win for his role in “A Different Man” marked another significant moment of the night. The recognition could help Stan muscle his way into the best actor Oscar race. Meanwhile, Netflix’s Spanish-language musical “Emilia Pérez” won four Golden Globes and is seen as a potential dark horse to claim the Oscar for Best Picture.
The film’s international feature category win represents France in the competition, giving the country its first win since 1992. The Oscars may be witnessing the rise of a new contender. As the awards season unfolds, history suggests caution and unpredictability, with some winners facing statistical challenges.
Source: https://variety.com/2025/film/awards/golden-globes-oscars-analysis-demi-moore-brutalist-emilia-perez-1236266631