The ruling junta in Myanmar has declared a state of emergency and sought international aid following a devastating earthquake that struck the country two weeks ago. The move represents a stark contrast to its response to Cyclone Nargis in 2008, when it initially rejected international aid, resulting in over 84,000 deaths.
Analysts say the shift in response may spark cautious hope for a political settlement between the junta and resistance forces, but there are concerns about the military’s ability to prioritize humanitarian efforts. The junta has already shown its priority is defeating the resistance, despite a temporary ceasefire announced earlier this month.
The earthquake has displaced millions and decimated Myanmar’s economy, with estimated death tolls rising to 10,000 and economic losses exceeding $66.8 billion. The crisis has also exposed the military’s inability to provide adequate assistance, with reports of troops firing warning shots at aid convoys.
However, the junta is using the disaster as a “window of opportunity” to bolster its diplomatic credentials in the region. Leader Min Aung Hlaing made rare foreign trips, meeting with leaders from neighboring nations like China and India, and secured pledges of aid supplies and relief workers from these countries.
The promise of an election in December has also raised hopes for a democratic transition process, but analysts warn that this may be just a sham to keep the military in power. The junta’s ability to maintain control is uncertain, with resistance forces continuing to fight against the military.
Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/07/myanmars-fatal-quake-deepens-political-turmoil-experts-say.html