After a successful streak in Weeks 15 and 16, my NFL projection model is back with best bets for Week 17. The regular season is winding down, but the stakes are high. Here are my top picks:
The Arizona Cardinals (+7 at Los Angeles Rams) present an attractive proposition, despite the Rams’ need to secure the NFC West title. I believe the market’s assumption that Arizona won’t be motivated due to being eliminated from the playoffs is overblown. The correct price should be closer to a touchdown and extra point.
On the other hand, I would avoid betting on the under 47.5 (-110) at BetMGM between the Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders. While Michael Penix Jr.’s debut performance was impressive, I think he’ll face a tougher test against the Commanders defense. My model expects the Falcons offense to underperform, making this line less appealing.
Shop around for the best price and good luck with your bets!
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6019347/2024/12/26/nfl-best-bets-week-17-edge-on-falcons-commanders-total-as-michael-penix-jr-hits-the-road