Ohio State is expected to dominate Notre Dame in the national title game, with a spread of more than a touchdown for the first time since 2000. The Buckeyes are favored by 8.5 points, making them one of the biggest favorites in championship game history.
Historically, underdogs have struggled in title games, covering only six times in the last nine years. However, the trend has shifted recently, with favorites dominating in recent title games. Ohio State’s chances do not seem to be significantly impacted by this trend, as they are still considered a heavy favorite.
In fact, favorites have covered in seven of the last eight title games, including the last five consecutive championship appearances by LSU and Alabama. The Buckeyes’ success in previous games against favored opponents is also worth noting, with victories over Oklahoma and Florida State as double-digit underdogs.
The odds suggest that Ohio State will win comfortably, but ultimately, the outcome of the game will depend on various factors, including team performance and player injuries.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6058657/2025/01/13/ohio-state-notre-dame-spread-national-title-game