The Minnesota Timberwolves (31-25) will face the Houston Rockets (34-21) at 9:30 p.m. ET from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas, with ESPN broadcasting the game live. The Rockets are 3.5-point home favorites over the Wolves on the spread, but some analysts see value in Minnesota as a +3.5 underdog.
According to projections, the Timberwolves should be closer to +3, and their visitors might just be the right side. Minnesota has won eight of the last 10 meetings against Houston and seems to have its number. However, the game’s total is set at 220.5 points, with some analysts preferring to pass on taking either side.
The recommended pick is Timberwolves +3.5 (-110), with a projected payout of +234 when combined with a parlay bet on Amen Thompson under 13.5 rebounds and assists (-105).
Minnesota’s recent performance, including a double-digit win against the Thunder, suggests that they are due for a boost in confidence. The team has struggled to find its footing this season but is only a half-game behind the Clippers for an automatic berth into the playoff round.
A closer look at underlying numbers shows that Minnesota is a top-15 team offensively and top-six defensively. ESPN’s Relative Percent Index projects the Timberwolves should be closer to a 35-21 team, supporting their case for covering the spread.
Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/timberwolves-vs-rockets-prediction-odds-parlay-pick-for-friday-february-21-qs