The US has offered to help Ukraine fend off an invader in exchange for a share of its natural resources, sparking concerns that the deal is a “protection racket.” The agreement would not include explicit security guarantees, and experts say it undermines American credibility and sends a message to allies that the US cannot be trusted. This approach deviates from traditional diplomatic methods, where countries prioritize long-term strategic interests over short-term gains.
The Trump administration’s demand for Ukraine’s mineral wealth has been met with criticism from international relations scholars, who argue that foreign policy should be based on credibility and deterrence rather than extracting cash or resources. Experts say that the US’s transactional approach to diplomacy may lead countries to seek closer relationships with alternative powers like China. The deal also raises concerns about Russia’s willingness to engage in a minerals trade with Ukraine, potentially undermining the agreement.
The implications of this unusual payment structure are far-reaching, and some experts warn that they could have unpredictable consequences. A breakdown in US credibility could lead to increased tensions with Russia and China, potentially threatening long-standing alliances and security arrangements.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/25/world/europe/trump-us-ukraine-mineral-deal.html