The COVID pandemic has traditionally been marked by a winter surge, with cases peaking between Christmas and New Year’s Day. However, this year’s data suggests an unexpected twist.
Low levels of the virus in wastewater from September to November indicate a slower spread of the disease. Hospitalizations and deaths also hit record lows during this period.
Despite these positive signs, a recent increase in viral activity in wastewater has raised concerns about the possibility of a winter wave. The timing is different this year, with the wave likely to start later than usual.
This shift in COVID-19’s trajectory makes for an uncertain holiday season, one that will be marked by unpredictability and potentially fewer cases compared to previous years.
Source: https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2024/12/covid-christmas-winter-wave/681133