The US Agency for International Development (USAID) could face significant consequences if it is completely or significantly downsized, according to experts. This would have security implications when it comes to climate change, as the agency’s humanitarian assistance and proactive climate resilience programs are crucial in regions vulnerable to human-caused climate change.
USAID provides vital aid to Africa, Central America, and parts of Asia, including programs that boost agricultural production and make infrastructure more resilient to extreme weather events. The agency also helps countries cut their emissions, conserve carbon-rich tropical rainforests, and rely on renewable energy sources.
Curtailing USAID would add to instability in these regions, leaving vulnerable populations without support, according to Sherri Goodman, a senior fellow at the Wilson Center. This could create a vacuum for other malign actors to exploit, potentially leading to more conflicts.
A pullback in foreign aid could also benefit China, which may fill the void and gain favor in Africa and elsewhere. USAID provides critical work in delivering vital assistance around the globe, and its closure would put China in the driver’s seat.
The agency plays a crucial role in preventing future crises by providing early warning systems for famines and directing aid to where it is needed most. Its programs also distribute food aid from US farmers to those in need, which can reduce migration and its consequences.
With President Trump’s support and Elon Musk’s vow to “kill” USAID, the agency’s fate remains uncertain. Sen. Chris Van Hollen has expressed concerns that Trump’s decision would freeze critical work and put China in a favorable position.
Source: https://www.axios.com/2025/02/03/usaid-programs-climate-adaptation-resilience