The USF Bulls will face the San Jose State Spartans in the Hawaii Bowl on Tuesday, December 24, with kickoff set for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. As a -3 favorite, San Jose State’s over/under is currently at 63.
USF’s strength lies in its rushing attack, led by Kelley Joiner and Nay’Quan Wright. The duo helped the Bulls finish fifth in rush explosives this season. However, their defense excelled against the run, finishing 35th in Line Yards and Stuff Rate. The team struggled with passing defenses, ranking outside the top 100 in Passing Success Rate allowed.
San Jose State, on the other hand, relies heavily on its passing attack, led by Walker Eget. The team’s offense was ultra-reliant on wide receiver Nash, who commanded 37% of all targets and receptions this season. However, with Nash now out, the Spartans must adapt to a new passing game.
The Bulls’ defense will look to capitalize on San Jose State’s struggles in stopping explosives in passing downs. The Spartans finished the season 121st in third-down defense. Expect USF to find success against the Spartans using inside zone and counter plays.
USF +3 is the recommended pick, as the team’s rushing attack and defensive strengths give them an advantage over San Jose State. Additionally, a second-half over could be in play if the Spartans struggle to adjust to life without Nash.
Source: https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/usf-bulls-vs-san-jose-state-spartans-prediction-pick-odds-hawaii-bowl-ncaaf-tuesday-dec-24