The PGA Tour returns to Texas for the second consecutive stop at the Valero Texas Open. Among the favorites are Ludvig Aberg and Tommy Fleetwood, but for those looking for sleeper picks, consider the following longshots.
Si Woo Kim is a promising underdog, with odds of +3700 at bet365. Despite missing the cut at the Houston Open, Kim has shown consistency in his play, finishing top 25 in four out of five consecutive events and gaining strokes across the board. This will be his eighth trip to the Valero Texas Open, where he’s played well in each of the past six years.
Another sleeper pick is Bud Cauley, who’s on a hot streak after consecutive Top 10s at THE PLAYERS and Valspar. His odds are +5500 at FanDuel. Cauley has shown improvement over his last 10 events, ranking third in adjusted scoring average this season and eighth in true strokes gained tee-to-green. He’ll be playing at home at TPC San Antonio for the seventh time.
Max Homa is a six-time PGA Tour winner with a history of success in Texas, but his recent form has been concerning, missing four consecutive cuts and logging only one Top-20 worldwide finish since May. Despite this, his odds of +12500 at Caesars are long enough to consider him a flier pick. Homa’s past performance in the Valero Texas Open, including a T25 finish last year, suggests he could be due for an out-of-nowhere return to form.
Source: https://www.covers.com/golf/valero-texas-open-sleeper-picks-2025