The Raiders’ primary goal this season is no longer making the playoffs but securing a top-2 pick in April’s draft. A loss to the Jaguars on Sunday could help their cause, as they currently sit behind the Giants (2-12) in the standings with a No. 1 overall pick slated for second.
A win for the Jaguars would tumble them down the draft order, potentially allowing the Raiders to move up. Quarterback prospects Shedeur Sanders and Cam Ward are considered among the best in this year’s class, and the Raiders need a top-2 pick to ensure they get one of these quarterback hopefuls.
The system is complex, but the Raiders’ path to the top overall pick starts with losing their final three games. They must drop all three contests and rely on the Giants winning at least one more game or having a weaker strength of schedule than New York’s to secure the top spot.
With favorable matchups ahead, including the Jaguars’ six losses in their last seven games and the Chargers’ likely lack of motivation against the Raiders, a loss for the Raiders could be beneficial. The X account Doug Analytics gives the Raiders a 19.5 percent chance of ending up with the No. 1 pick, behind the Giants (47.5 percent) and Patriots (22.2 percent).
Source: https://www.reviewjournal.com/sports/raiders/how-do-the-raiders-get-the-no-1-pick-in-the-nfl-draft-3253149