The midterm elections on Tuesday will offer glimpses into President Trump’s influence on his party and potential future of his movement. Despite not appearing in person in major states, Trump’s actions could signal the strength of his base.
A Republican strategist notes that Trump voters’ loyalty to the party is crucial for its survival. To gauge this, the results of governor’s races like New Jersey will be analyzed. The shift in Jack Ciattarelli’s approach in his campaigns mirrors Trump’s performance in 2024, with notable strength in diverse areas.
In California, a ballot measure could give Democrats five more safe House seats and pay dividends for Gov. Gavin Newsom’s re-election campaign. His expanded list of supporters, built over decades, helped him raise $114 million in less than three months.
Trump’s influence extends to the mayor’s race in New York City, where Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani is a strong contender. The president has tried various tactics, including threatening federal funding cuts, but it remains uncertain how much impact these efforts will have on the outcome.
The midterm elections also bring attention to redistricting measures and Senate Republicans’ stance on the legislative filibuster. President Trump’s recent calls for its abolition may not gain traction, as his allies fear it could backfire if Democrats regain control of the Senate.
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/31/us/politics/elections-new-jersey-california-trump.html