Disney’s anticipated film, Zootopia 2, continues to gain momentum in pre-release tracking. Models show an acceleration in pre-sales similar to Inside Out 2 rather than Moana 2, which opened on the same Wednesday before Thanksgiving last year but was heavily front-loaded relative to other animated titles.
Zootopia 2’s domestic opening projections have increased, with a pinpoint forecast of $115 million for its first three days. The film is expected to surpass Disney’s previous release, The Way of Water, in terms of pre-sales. However, some caveats include a longer sales window and higher average ticket prices, which may impact the film’s performance.
On the other hand, Five Nights at Freddy’s 2 remains behind its predecessor’s pre-sale pace, despite being released theatrically this time around. Expectations for the film have been scaled back due to mixed fan reception and the comparison to its predecessor’s day-and-date release on streaming and in theaters.
Pre-sales for Avatar: Fire and Ash are also lower than expected, with a one-week longer sales window and higher average ticket prices. This may impact the film’s performance in its domestic opening frame. However, tracking could rebound next month due to less pent-up demand for sequels.
The article provides forecasts and tracking ranges for several upcoming releases, including Eternity, Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery, and Anaconda (2025). The updates reflect the evolving market conditions and various circumstances that are factored into modeling.
Source: https://boxofficetheory.com